The best tips for Euro 2012:
The most recent World Cup saw the first European win in a foreign continent and also the first all European final in a foreign continent so European football is clearly at the top of its game currently. Spain are of course favourites to win Euro 2012 having won Euro 2008 and then the World Cup 2010 without barely breaking a sweat. They will be immensely tough to beat once again and are a fair price to make it three major tournaments in a row.
Out of the second and third placed teams at the World Cup, Holland and Germany, it is Germany who make the most appeal having taken a young squad to the World Cup two years ago, their stars will have a bit more experience this time around and they can push Spain close and could offer a value alternative to the favourites.
At bigger odds whether you are looking for a big priced selection who should go well or a team that you can back to lay then Portugal will certainly catch the eye. Portugal were very unlucky with the draw at the World Cup 2010, they were drawn in the group of death with Brazil and Ivory Coast and they still qualified but they then bumped into Spain in the Second Round. Spain won that just 1-0 and Portugal missed some guilt edged chances in the game, they certainly gave Spain one of their tougher games. In recent European Championships Portugal have regularly performed well, they have reached at least the quarter finals in the last four tournaments and were runners up in 2004. With Cristiano Ronaldo they are sure to perform well and after three games they could be trading a lot lower than the pre tournament odds.
David Villa was the top scorer at Euro 2008 and the joint top scorer at the latest World Cup and he appeals to be Spain's top scorer. Since Spain should reach the semi finals at the very least Villa will have every chance of being the top scored at Euro 2012 but everyone knows what a good striker he is these days so he is unlikely to offer anything like the value he offered four years ago when he was a confident bet for us.
Given Spain seem to have become 1-0 specialists in the major tournaments now as a team they might not score as many goals as many of the top nations do, in fact it would be no surprise if they were the lowest scorers out of the four likely semi finalists.
We fancy Germany to go very well at Euro 2012 and Miroslav Klose, a former World Cup Golden Boot, has been in great form in qualifying. He is getting on a bit but still scores plenty of goals but he may actually play second fiddle to Mario Gomez, who also scored goals in qualifying despite not playing as often as Klose. Gomez has always looked a top striker for Bayern Munich but hasn't performed in international tournaments. That could be all about to change and he will surely get plenty of chances for Germany and he might just go under the radar a little as far as the Golden Boot odds are concerned.
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar has been the main man for Holland in qualifying and Holland should go well at Euro 2012 but whether or not Holland can score as many goals in this tournament as Germany remains to be seen (Germany scored four more goals at the World Cup than Holland).
Players such as Wayne Rooney for England and Cristiano Ronaldo will also be popular in the betting, Rooney has arguably been in the form of his life this season but whether England are good enough to go far enough in this tournament and to provide enough chances for Rooney remains to be seen. As for Ronaldo, if he transferred his club scoring record to this tournament he'd be a shoe in but He doesn't quite get the same freedom for Portugal and as a team they don't seem to score enough goals.
Russia should be too strong for the Group A opposition but Greece look by far the best of the rest rather than Czech Republic. Greece won Euro 2004 and went unbeaten in qualifying for Euro 2012 (only five teams managed that) whilst Czech Republic have underperformed in recent years (didn't qualify for the World Cup and needed the playoffs to get here) whilst Poland seem overrated on the basis that they are hosts. the hosts performed dreadfully four years ago so did Poland.
Germany look the best team in this group despite the presence of Holland. Germany won all their qualifiers and only Spain (the eventual winners) have knocked their young team out of the last two major tournaments. Germany look to still be improving and they are a good value bet to win this tough group.
This is arguably the most clear cut group, Spain should have few problems winning the group whilst you'd expect Italy to grab second place, well clear of Ireland and Croatia who both required the playoffs to get here. Italy have been costly failures in recent tournaments though so the main bet from Group C should simply be Spain to top the group.
Group D betting is sure to be popular with England involved and it looks a battle between England and France for top spot. France have performed horribly at the last two major tournaments and although they should perform betting under new management, they can't be fully relied upon which could leave England clear to win the group. Ukraine seem to be a bit overrated as hosts, they are a solid team but they have never even qualified for a European Championships before. Ukraine have also been beaten by France and Sweden in recent qualifiers and they look a value play to finish bottom of Group D.
The draw will show which sides cannot possibly meet in the Euro 2012 final but if they are drawn on different sides of the tournament it is difficult to see past Germany and Spain meeting in the final as they are the two strongest sides in the competition. This is what the bookies predict but we fancy Germany to get the better of Spain in that final unlike the bookies. Below are some of the best outright betting opportunities at Euro 2012
| Market | Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|
| Germany Win Euro 12 | 4/1 | Boylesports |
| Portugal Win Euro 12 | 16/1 | Boylesports |